Brexit outcome?

I don't know enough about the EU or our options for dealing with them to say for definite, the optimist in me hopes for a 3-5 year transitional deal with an arrangement to stay in the EEA for a few years to avoid a hard brexit cliff edge and/or hoping we will simply abandon the idea (I voted Remain largely for economic reasons, I have no emotional attachment to the EU nor do I identify as European, I just didn't see a convincing argument for leaving, with every passing day I'm growing more and more worried about the possible economic fallout, feeling more and more convinced even the Brexiteers in the Goverment don't know what they want or to expect when we Leave, and with the likes of Thresa May/Boris Johnson deciding our negotiating strategy I don't expect a good deal from the EU)

The pessimistic realist in me thinks we will crash out of the EU with no deal in place, revert to WTO rules for trading, and worse case scenario potentially tank the economy in the process and see the United Kingdom split apart within 15 years, the ignorant onlooker just wants this whole unpleasant business over and done with one way or another.

I think the chances of us changing our minds and remaining are nill (that's assuming the EU 27 would even agree to rescind Article 50), but if Brexit goes as badly as some fear I wouldn't be surprised to see Labour with the next 5 years campaign to take us back into the EU...

I'm still in the 'I'll believe it when I see it' camp...

I think the negotiations will be 'OK' in the sense that there will be a deal. We are still in the warmup phase; the real deal-making will start after the German elections, not long now. I think there is far more progress being made than we are hearing - the main news programmes often seem to dismiss every statement the UK side makes and unquestioningly believe every statement the EU side makes, which may give dramatic headlines but gives a very strange picture of events. We won't leave quickly or cleanly whatever Article 50 says, there will be a variety of transition periods because there will have to be. We will pay some substantial money to cover EU costs when we leave (£20-£30Bn?) and we will get a trade deal because otherwise the EU will quite quickly find itself (after we leave) the only major trading partner with whom we don't have a deal.

I think we will leave, providing the Conservatives remain in government. If Labour were to take office, I haven't a clue what would happen. Not because of the views or abilities of either party, simply because I think I'm right in saying that almost all Conservative MPs represent areas which voted Leave, whereas for Labour MPs it's about 50/50. What do you think the reaction of voters would be to a local MP who went against their democratically expressed will on such a major issue?

I can't see how we won't leave when both 2 main parties (who between them got their highest combined share of the vote since the 1970s at the recent election) are in favour of it. The prospect of either party getting a new pro-Remain leader before 2019 is almost nil.

I think there are very mixed feelings on Brexit out there. On the one hand, as the consequences of leaving become more apparent, a lot of Brexiteers may be regretting their vote to leave. On the other hand, the more Europe (apparently) tries to screw us on the exit deal the more I am inclined to react emotionally and tell the EU where to stick it and go for no deal - and I was a Remainer to begin with!

Personally I think as well as the paying our share of the EU laibilities, the EU should be paying us for our share of EU assets, but that doesn't even seem to be on the agenda.

I do not think the Tories would suffer in the opinion polls in the short term if they went for no deal, they may even get a bounce for "standing up strongly for Britain". That, as much as anything else, makes me think there may be no deal.

If no deal, I think the Tories will try to turn the UK into an offshore tax haven with very low corporation tax rates to attract investment and offset the costs of being outside the single market. Other taxes would then have to rise to pay for the corporation tax cut or else start running up a large deficit.

I think Theresa May will be gone before the negotiations conclude for a start, and if that ultimately causes a General Election in the UK anything could happen. 18 months is a long time in politics! 

So I'll believe in Brexit when it actually happens.

We will leave, that much is certain. Everything else is up in the air and based on the talks so far I'm not hopeful of a good deal being reached.

so where they gonna find this "20 Billion" euro's

20Bn Euro is about £17.5Bn.

I expect that as it's a 2 year deal that in effect allows the UK to continue to access a lot of what the EU is, and as members of the EU we would have been paying around £26Bn over two years (based on 2016 forecasts), I suspect its coming from that.

The difficulty that I see, is of course that even so, we will at the same time loose access to a lo of what is the EU, otherwise it just moves the cliff edge forward by 2 years, so expenses will increase in other areas and not be able to be funded out of the monies that would have gone to the EU, as that money is still going to the EU, we also I would imagine, will loose immediately on leaving the monies the EU sends/spends in the UK (around £8bn over the same 2 year period).  Basically, the 20Bn Euro's appears to be the nett payments we would have made to the EU had we remained in for those 2 years.