Post by The Brigadier on Dec 13, 2019 10:56:35 GMT
Right now the onus will solely be on Johnson and the Conservatives for everything. They will have to meet all the promises they made during the campaign - more money for the NHS, education, social care, more nurses, more police officers, more teachers and they will have to deal with the fallout from when they inevitably break those promises.
Speaking of the NHS..Johnson promised that it would not be on the table in a trade deal and Trump pretty much stated the same. Which I might have been able to accept...if it wasn't for the small fact that both men have a proven record with being shall we say 'far from honest' with the facts. If or rather when it happens the Conservatives will be solely responsible for the huge fallout from the public over such a betrayal.
There is more. While the Conservatives have certainly made capital out the shameful anti-semitism that has festered in Labour under Corbyn's watch, it has shielded it's eyes from the shameful Islamphobia that festers within it's own ranks and the racist and homophobic remarks of it's own leader. Quite how a person can preach 'one nation Conservatism' in one breath which pandering to those on the furthest fringes of the right in the next is something I will never understand, but scapegoating tax paying EU nationals and insulting both the Muslim communities and people who are LGBTQ, many of whom are propping up our infrastructure will inevitably come back to haunt him..and yes, he will have to deal with the fallout from that.
They will have to meet the expectations of those who want to 'get Brexit done' and those communities in the north who believed Johnson will deliver the 'sunlit uplands' of investment promised during the Referendum, and they will have to deal with the fallout from when they inevitably break those expectations. I accept he can lead Britain out of the EU at the end of next month, but the likelihood of a trade deal being completed within eleven months is almost non existent as Michael Barnier has suggested it could be at least 2021/22 or beyond. So in due course Johnson and the Conservatives will have to deal with the fallout from the fantasy they peddled. And I also accept that he could just crash out and trade on WTO terms by the end of next year...except what hasn't been mentioned in the media that much is that of a couple of days ago the WTO was effectively crippled by President Trump who has blocked the appointment of judges to it's dispute panel. If we traded on WTO terms we would be a small minnow paddling in a sea of sharks...and without the slightest recourse in a dispute against a more powerful country. We would be royally shafted. And guess who would get to deal with the fallout from a furious business community if that happens?
Then there is Scotland and Northern Ireland. As you know the SNP has made significant gains and undoubtedly Sturgeon will push and push hard for a 2nd Independence Referendum. Undoubtedly Johnson will do exactly what he and his predecessor did before : stick their fingers in their ears and pretend they cannot hear anything. But I think this time the clamour will be harder to ignore and it will be harder to ignore because of Northern Ireland. For the first time the Unionists do not have the majority and people over there are starting to realise just what a stitch up the EU deal is. Despite a fresh coat of paint it is still May's deal. There will be borders, despite Johnson's assurances. I have friends living in Belfast and Dublin and speaking to them today there are allegedly murmurings of reunification, something I never thought would happen in my lifetime. Now because of Brexit it is becoming a possibility. Thanks to the Conservatives, the 'precious Union' they espouse is at a real risk of falling apart. And no amount of lies could deflect the possible fallout from that.
So enjoy this moment, I would not begrudge any of you doing so for a single second. But don't assume for a single second that it is a case of job done. It has barely started.